Market Outlook
December 09, 2016
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian market is expected to open on a positive note tracking the SGX Nifty and
BSE Sensex
1.7
457
26,694
strong global markets.
Nifty
1.8
145
8,247
Following the rally seen in the previous session stocks saw some further upside
Mid Cap
1.5
184
12,508
during the day on Thursday and the US markets continued it upward move. With the
Small Cap
1.3
154
12,256
continued strength on Wall Street, all three of the major averages reached new
Bankex
1.5
321
21,170
record closing highs. The higher close on Wall Street came on the heels of the
European Central Bank’s highly anticipated monetary policy announcement.
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
The European markets were largely flat in early trade on Thursday, ahead of today’s
Dow Jones
0.3
65
19,615
announcement from the European Central Bank. However, they broke out higher
after the central bank surprised the markets. The ECB announced that bond
Nasdaq
0.4
24
5,417
purchases will be extended till the end of next year, which is longer than expected.
FTSE
0.4
29
6,932
After reacting negatively to the RBI’s policy, the Indian markets looked back at
Nikkei
1.5
269
18,765
global cues and witnessed strong buying interest across board. Rate sensitive stocks
Hang Seng
0.3
61
22,862
which had witnessed selling the previous day started buying interest. With positive
Shanghai Com
(0.2)
(7)
3,215
announcement from the ECB the Indian markets could continue to see its up move
for some time.
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
News Analysis
Advances
1,839
1259
Crompton Greaves terminates T&D deal
Declines
818
341
Detailed analysis on Pg2
Unchanged
167
72
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
Volumes (` Cr)
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
BSE
2,447
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
NSE
16,045
Refer Pg5 onwards
Top Picks
Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Sector
Rating
(`)
(`)
(%)
FII
698
143
(370)
Amara Raja Batt. Auto & Auto Ancill.
Buy
929
1,167
25.6
MFs
64
(174)
30,771
Alkem Laboratories Pharmaceuticals
Buy
1,680
1,989
18.4
HCL Tech
IT
Buy
795
1,000
25.8
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Power Grid Corp. Power
Buy
186
223
20.1
Fincables
426
6.7
Navkar Corp.
Others
Buy
177
265
49.9
More Top Picks on Pg3
Beml
919
6.4
Pageind
13,820
6.2
Key Upcoming Events
Fsl
38
6.0
Previous
Consensus
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Havells
351
5.9
Dec 9 India
Exports YoY%
9.6
--
Dec 9 Euro Zone ECB announces interest rates
--
--
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Dec 9 UK
CPI (YoY)
0.9
--
Polaris
143
(11.1)
Dec 12 China
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
2.1
2.2
Dec 13 India
Industrial Production YoY
0.7
--
Crompgreav
62
(5.9)
More Events on Pg4
Ipcalab
541
(3.3)
Nationalum
67
(3.0)
Network18
37
(2.8)
As on December 08, 2016
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
December 09, 2016
News Analysis
Crompton greaves terminates T&D deal
Crompton greaves has said that its deal with Pauwels Spaco Ltd- an SPV of first
reserve (parties) for sale of its power business in Europe, North America and
Indonesia has been terminated. The company has however said it will continue to
explore alternative geography/ product wise options for sale of its international
power business. It also has mentioned that it will continue to look for strategic
initiatives for improving overall operational efficiency of the international power
business.
However, the company also clarified that it continues to progress with sale of the
B2B Automation Business in Spain, UK, Ireland, France and India at and Enterprise
Value of Euro 120 Mn as communicated on November 7,2016 and towards this
has made substantial progress towards completion, which will enhance share
holders value.
Economic and Political News
Government announces various incentive on digital payment
Hope fades for new tax regime, GST needs to be deferred says Amit Mitra
of TMC
CRISIL downgrades outlook for TN Govt owned power units to negative
Rising NPAs to put pressure on bank rating
Corporate News
Airtel & Idea unveil free voice calling, data benefit plan to take on RJio.
GMR Infra’s net loss widens to `700.3cr
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
December 09, 2016
Top Picks ★★★★★
Large Cap
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
To outpace battery industry growth due to better
Amara Raja Batteries
15,873
929
1,167
25.6
technological products leading to market share gains in
both the automotive OEM and replacement segments.
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership in
Alkem Laboratories
20,087
1,680
1,989
18.4
acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch more
products in USA, which bodes for its international business.
The stock is trading at attractive valuations and is factoring
HCL Tech
1,12,176
795
1,000
25.8
all the bad news.
Back on the growth trend; expect a long term growth of 14%
Infosys
2,26,192
985
1,249
26.8
to be a US$20bn in FY2020.
Strong order backlog and improvement in execution would
Larsen & Tourbo
1,27,396
1,367
1,634
19.5
trigger the growth for the L&T
One of the largest pharma companies with strong
international presence. It has a rich pipeline of ANDAs
Lupin
68,667
1,523
1,809
18.8
which is also one of the largest among the generic
companies.
Going forward, we expect the company to report strong
Power Grid Corporation
97,124
186
223
20.1
top-line CAGR of ~16% and bottom-line CAGR of ~19%
over FY16-18 on back of strong capitalization guidance
Source: Company, Angel Research
Mid Cap
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
640
213
351
64.9
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Among the top 4 players in the consumer durables segment.
Bajaj Electricals
2,248
223
274
23.0
Improved profitability backed by turn around in E&P
segment. Strong order book lends earnings visibility.
Favourable outlook for AC industry augurs well for Cooling
Blue Star
4,487
471
634
34.8
products business which is outgrowing the market. EMPPAC
division's is likely to turn around on improving economy
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
Dewan Housing Finance
7,967
255
350
37.5
consumer segment, the company has increased its presence
in tier-II & III cities where the growth opportunity is immense.
Strong loan growth backed by diversified loan portfolio and
adequate CAR. ROE & ROA likely to remain decent as risk of
Equitas Holdings
5,378
160
235
46.6
dilution remains low. Attractive valuations considering
growth.
Economic recovery to have favourable impact on advertising
& circulation revenue growth. Further, the acquisition of a
Jagran Prakashan
5,593
171
225
31.5
radio business (Radio City) would also boost the company's
revenue growth.
Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue
Mahindra Lifespace
1,471
358
522
45.6
visibilty in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
We expect the company to report strong growth on back of
healthy growth in domestic branded sales (owing to
Mirza International
1,016
84
107
26.7
aggressive ad spend and addition in the number of EBOs &
multi-brand outlets [MBOs]) and healthy export revenues.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at
Navkar Corporation
2,521
177
265
49.9
ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company.
Strong brands and distribution network would boost growth
Siyaram Silk Mills
1,153
1,230
1,605
30.5
going ahead. Stock currently trades at an inexpensive
valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no. 2 viewership
ranking in English news genre, exit from the radio business,
TV Today Network
1,715
288
385
33.9
and anticipated growth in ad spends by corporate to benefit
the stock.
Source: Company, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
December 09, 2016
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bloomberg Data
Date
Time
Country
Event Description
Unit
Period
Last Reported
Estimated
Dec 09, 2016
6:15 PM
Euro Zone ECB announces interest rates
%
Dec 8
-
-
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Nov
9.59
3:00 PM
UK CPI (YoY)
% Change
Nov
0.90
Dec 12, 2016
7:00 AM
China Consumer Price Index (YoY)
% Change
Nov
2.10
2.20
Dec 13, 2016
5:30 PM
India
Industrial Production YoY
% Change
Oct
0.70
7:30 AM
China Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Nov
6.10
6.10
Dec 14, 2016
3:00 PM
UK Jobless claims change
% Change
Nov
9.80
7:45 PM
US
Industrial Production
%
Nov
0.04
(0.20)
US
Producer Price Index (mom)
% Change
Nov
0.40
12:00 PM
India
Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%
% Change
Nov
3.39
Dec 15, 2016
2:00 PM
Germany PMI Services
Value
Dec P
55.10
2:00 PM
Germany PMI Manufacturing
Value
Dec P
54.30
7:00 PM
US
Consumer price index (mom)
% Change
Nov
0.40
0.20
5:30 PM
UK BOE Announces rates
% Ratio
Dec 15
0.25
7:00 PM
US
Housing Starts
Thousands
Nov
1,323.00
1,233.00
Dec 16, 2016
12:30 AM
US
FOMC rate decision
%
Dec 14
0.50
0.75
7:00 PM
US
Building permits
Thousands
Nov
1,260.00
1,230.00
3:30 PM
Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)
%
Nov F
0.60
Dec 21, 2016
8:30 PM
Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
Value
Dec A
(6.10)
8:30 PM
US
Existing home sales
Million
Nov
5.60
Dec 22, 2016
7:00 PM
US
GDP Qoq (Annualised)
% Change
3Q T
3.20
3.30
Dec 23, 2016
3:00 PM
UK GDP (YoY)
% Change
3Q F
2.30
8:30 PM
US
New home sales
Thousands
Nov
563.00
Dec 27, 2016
8:30 PM
US
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Dec
107.10
Jan 01, 2017
3:00 PM
UK PMI Manufacturing
Value
Dec
53.40
Jan 03, 2017
2:25 PM
Germany Unemployment change (000's)
Thousands
Dec
(5.00)
7:00 PM
US
Change in Nonfarm payrolls
Thousands
Dec
178.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
December 09, 2016
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Neutral
205
-
3,986
1,937
2,164
13.3
14.3
9.0
11.0
22.8
18.6
4.0
3.5
18.4
19.8
2.1
1.8
United Phosphorus
Neutral
700
-
35,489
15,176
17,604
18.5
18.5
37.4
44.6
18.7
15.7
3.7
3.0
21.4
21.2
2.5
2.1
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Buy
78
111
22,226
22,407
26,022
10.6
10.6
5.2
6.4
15.0
12.2
3.4
2.9
23.6
24.7
1.1
0.9
Bajaj Auto
Neutral
2,774
-
80,263
25,093
27,891
19.5
19.2
143.9
162.5
19.3
17.1
5.4
4.7
30.3
29.4
2.9
2.6
Bharat Forge
Neutral
964
-
22,445
7,726
8,713
20.5
21.2
35.3
42.7
27.3
22.6
5.0
4.6
18.9
20.1
3.0
2.6
Eicher Motors
Neutral
23,250
-
63,149
16,583
20,447
17.5
18.0
598.0
745.2
38.9
31.2
13.3
10.1
41.2
38.3
3.6
2.9
Gabriel India
Buy
108
130
1,551
1,544
1,715
9.0
9.3
5.4
6.3
20.0
17.1
3.8
3.3
18.9
19.5
1.0
0.8
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
3,309
3,541
66,076
30,958
34,139
15.7
15.7
193.6
208.3
17.1
15.9
6.7
5.5
34.2
30.5
2.0
1.8
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
179
-
1,430
1,486
1,620
9.8
9.9
15.0
17.2
11.9
10.4
2.6
2.2
21.8
21.3
1.0
0.9
L G Balakrishnan & Bros Neutral
601
-
943
1,302
1,432
11.6
11.9
43.7
53.0
13.8
11.3
1.9
1.8
13.8
14.2
0.8
0.7
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,206
-
74,925
46,534
53,077
11.6
11.7
67.3
78.1
17.9
15.5
2.9
2.5
15.4
15.8
1.6
1.4
Maruti
Accumulate
5,241
6,006
158,320
68,057
82,958
15.8
15.5
212.1
261.2
24.7
20.1
4.9
4.1
19.8
20.3
2.0
1.6
Minda Industries
Neutral
305
-
2,420
2,728
3,042
9.0
9.1
68.2
86.2
4.5
3.5
1.0
0.8
23.8
24.3
0.9
0.8
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
330
-
46,242
45,896
53,687
7.8
8.3
13.0
16.1
25.3
20.5
8.1
6.5
34.7
35.4
1.1
0.9
Rane Brake Lining
Neutral
1,027
-
813
511
562
11.3
11.5
28.1
30.9
36.5
33.2
5.6
5.1
15.3
15.0
1.7
1.6
Setco Automotive
Neutral
37
-
491
741
837
13.0
13.0
15.2
17.0
2.4
2.2
0.4
0.4
15.8
16.3
1.0
1.0
Tata Motors
Neutral
461
-
133,187
300,209
338,549
8.9
8.4
42.7
54.3
10.8
8.5
1.7
1.5
15.6
17.2
0.6
0.5
TVS Motor
Neutral
364
-
17,286
13,390
15,948
6.9
7.1
12.8
16.5
28.5
22.0
7.1
5.6
26.3
27.2
1.3
1.1
Amara Raja Batteries
Buy
929
1,167
15,873
5,504
6,605
17.6
17.5
33.4
40.9
27.8
22.7
6.1
5.0
22.1
22.0
2.9
2.4
Exide Industries
Neutral
179
-
15,215
7,439
8,307
15.0
15.0
8.1
9.3
22.1
19.3
3.1
2.8
14.3
16.7
1.7
1.5
Apollo Tyres
Buy
195
235
9,916
12,877
14,504
14.3
13.9
21.4
23.0
9.1
8.5
1.4
1.2
16.4
15.2
0.9
0.9
Ceat
Accumulate
1,266
1,450
5,123
7,524
8,624
13.0
12.7
131.1
144.3
9.7
8.8
1.8
1.5
19.8
18.6
0.8
0.7
JK Tyres
Neutral
121
-
2,747
7,455
8,056
15.0
15.0
21.8
24.5
5.6
4.9
1.2
1.0
22.8
21.3
0.5
0.4
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
1,365
-
1,695
660
810
15.2
16.4
54.5
72.8
25.1
18.8
7.8
7.1
31.5
39.2
2.4
1.9
Subros
Neutral
167
-
999
1,488
1,681
11.7
11.9
6.4
7.2
26.0
23.2
2.8
2.5
10.8
11.4
0.9
0.8
Indag Rubber
Neutral
175
-
460
286
326
19.8
16.8
11.7
13.3
15.0
13.2
2.5
2.4
17.8
17.1
1.3
1.1
Capital Goods
ACE
Neutral
49
-
488
709
814
4.1
4.6
1.4
2.1
35.2
23.5
1.5
1.4
4.4
6.0
0.8
0.7
BEML
Neutral
919
-
3,828
3,451
4,055
6.3
9.2
31.4
57.9
29.3
15.9
1.8
1.6
6.3
10.9
1.2
1.0
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
1,480
-
33,063
8,137
9,169
16.8
17.2
58.7
62.5
25.2
23.7
3.9
3.5
44.6
46.3
3.0
2.7
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
December 09, 2016
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Capital Goods
Voltas
Buy
323
407
10,702
6,511
7,514
7.9
8.7
12.9
16.3
25.1
19.8
4.5
4.0
16.7
18.5
1.4
1.2
BGR Energy
Neutral
117
-
842
16,567
33,848
6.0
5.6
7.8
5.9
15.0
19.8
0.9
0.8
4.7
4.2
0.2
0.1
BHEL
Neutral
129
-
31,574
28,797
34,742
-
2.8
2.3
6.9
56.1
18.7
1.0
0.9
1.3
4.8
0.8
0.5
Blue Star
Buy
471
634
4,487
4,283
5,077
5.9
7.3
14.9
22.1
31.6
21.3
6.1
5.2
20.4
26.4
1.1
0.9
Crompton Greaves
Neutral
62
-
3,886
5,777
6,120
5.9
7.0
3.3
4.5
18.8
13.8
0.8
0.8
4.4
5.9
0.6
0.5
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
127
-
3,099
1,755
1,881
16.8
16.9
7.8
8.5
16.3
14.9
3.3
3.0
20.6
20.9
1.5
1.3
Inox Wind
Neutral
201
-
4,454
5,605
6,267
15.7
16.4
24.8
30.0
8.1
6.7
2.3
1.7
25.9
24.4
0.8
0.7
KEC International
Neutral
143
-
3,684
9,294
10,186
7.9
8.1
9.9
11.9
14.5
12.0
2.1
1.8
15.6
16.3
0.6
0.6
Thermax
Neutral
825
-
9,826
5,421
5,940
7.3
7.3
25.7
30.2
32.1
27.3
3.9
3.6
12.2
13.1
1.7
1.6
VATech Wabag
Buy
490
681
2,672
3,136
3,845
8.9
9.1
26.0
35.9
18.9
13.7
2.4
2.0
13.4
15.9
0.8
0.6
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,359
-
25,516
11,225
13,172
13.2
16.9
44.5
75.5
30.5
18.0
2.9
2.7
11.2
14.2
2.3
1.9
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
214
-
42,394
9,350
10,979
18.2
22.5
5.8
9.5
36.8
22.5
3.1
2.8
10.2
12.5
4.5
3.9
India Cements
Neutral
114
-
3,513
4,364
4,997
18.5
19.2
7.9
11.3
14.5
10.1
1.0
1.0
8.0
8.5
1.6
1.4
JK Cement
Neutral
737
-
5,156
4,398
5,173
15.5
17.5
31.2
55.5
23.6
13.3
2.8
2.5
12.0
15.5
1.7
1.4
J K Lakshmi Cement
Buy
380
565
4,469
2,913
3,412
14.5
19.5
7.5
22.5
50.6
16.9
3.1
2.6
12.5
18.0
2.1
1.8
Orient Cement
Buy
131
215
2,683
2,114
2,558
18.5
20.5
8.1
11.3
16.2
11.6
2.4
2.0
9.0
14.0
1.9
1.5
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
3,596
-
98,689
25,768
30,385
21.0
23.5
111.0
160.0
32.4
22.5
4.1
3.6
13.5
15.8
3.9
3.3
Construction
ITNL
Neutral
105
-
3,446
8,946
10,017
31.0
31.6
8.1
9.1
12.9
11.5
0.5
0.5
4.2
5.0
3.7
3.4
KNR Constructions
Neutral
785
-
2,209
1,385
1,673
14.7
14.0
41.2
48.5
19.1
16.2
3.6
3.1
14.9
15.2
1.7
1.4
Larsen & Toubro
Buy
1,367
1,634
127,396
111,017
124,908
11.0
11.0
61.1
66.7
22.4
20.5
2.7
2.5
13.1
12.9
2.2
2.0
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
138
-
6,671
705
788
52.2
51.7
5.0
5.6
27.6
24.6
2.7
2.4
11.2
11.2
9.1
7.7
Nagarjuna Const.
Neutral
80
-
4,472
8,842
9,775
9.1
8.8
5.3
6.4
15.2
12.6
1.2
1.1
8.2
9.1
0.7
0.6
PNC Infratech
Buy
107
143
2,740
2,350
2,904
13.1
13.2
9.0
8.8
11.9
12.1
0.4
0.4
15.9
13.9
1.3
1.0
Simplex Infra
Neutral
296
-
1,464
6,829
7,954
10.5
10.5
31.4
37.4
9.4
7.9
1.0
0.9
9.9
13.4
0.6
0.5
Power Mech Projects
Neutral
456
-
671
1,801
2,219
12.7
14.6
72.1
113.9
6.3
4.0
1.2
1.0
16.8
11.9
0.4
0.3
Sadbhav Engineering
Accumulate
275
298
4,715
3,598
4,140
10.3
10.6
9.0
11.9
30.5
23.1
3.2
2.8
9.9
11.9
1.6
1.4
NBCC
Neutral
235
-
14,106
7,428
9,549
7.9
8.6
8.2
11.0
28.7
21.4
1.4
1.1
28.2
28.7
1.6
1.2
MEP Infra
Neutral
37
-
595
1,877
1,943
30.6
29.8
3.0
4.2
12.2
8.7
5.9
4.0
0.6
0.6
1.7
1.5
SIPL
Neutral
89
-
3,142
1,036
1,252
65.5
66.2
(8.4)
(5.6)
3.3
3.8
(22.8)
(15.9)
11.3
9.4
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
December 09, 2016
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Construction
Engineers India
Neutral
306
-
10,314
1,725
1,935
16.0
19.1
11.4
13.9
26.9
22.0
3.7
3.6
13.4
15.3
4.9
4.4
Financials
Axis Bank
Buy
450
630
107,285
46,932
53,575
3.5
3.4
32.4
44.6
13.9
10.1
1.8
1.6
13.6
16.5
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
159
-
36,521
19,980
23,178
1.8
1.8
11.5
17.3
13.8
9.2
1.6
1.3
8.3
10.1
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
312
-
16,917
15,225
16,836
1.8
1.8
14.5
28.0
21.5
11.1
1.5
1.2
5.8
8.5
-
-
Dewan Housing Finance Buy
255
350
7,967
2,225
2,688
2.9
2.9
29.7
34.6
8.6
7.4
1.4
1.2
16.1
16.8
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
160
235
5,378
939
1,281
11.7
11.5
5.8
8.2
27.7
19.6
2.4
2.1
10.9
11.5
-
-
Federal Bank
Neutral
70
-
12,079
9,353
10,623
2.9
2.9
4.4
5.8
16.0
12.1
1.5
1.4
9.5
11.0
-
-
HDFC
Neutral
1,287
-
203,494
11,475
13,450
3.4
3.4
45.3
52.5
28.4
24.5
5.5
4.8
20.2
20.5
-
-
HDFC Bank
Accumulate
1,200
1,350
303,784
46,097
55,433
4.5
4.5
58.4
68.0
20.6
17.7
3.6
3.0
18.8
18.6
-
-
ICICI Bank
Buy
262
315
152,578
42,800
44,686
3.1
3.3
18.0
21.9
14.6
12.0
2.0
1.8
11.1
12.3
-
-
Lakshmi Vilas Bank
Buy
147
174
2,645
3,339
3,799
2.7
2.8
11.0
14.0
13.4
10.5
1.4
1.3
11.2
12.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Accumulate
568
630
28,655
3,712
4,293
2.6
2.5
39.0
46.0
14.6
12.3
2.7
2.3
19.9
20.1
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
133
-
28,313
23,532
23,595
2.3
2.4
6.8
12.6
19.6
10.6
3.0
2.2
3.3
6.5
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
354
-
13,095
1,783
2,309
2.6
2.6
12.7
16.4
27.9
21.6
3.0
2.7
12.8
13.3
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
22
-
2,903
6,435
7,578
2.5
2.5
2.7
3.1
8.0
6.9
1.0
0.9
10.1
11.2
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
260
-
201,638
88,650
98,335
2.6
2.6
13.5
18.8
19.2
13.8
1.8
1.6
7.0
8.5
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
142
-
9,734
13,450
14,925
2.3
2.3
25.5
34.5
5.6
4.1
0.8
0.7
7.5
10.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,213
-
51,071
8,978
11,281
3.3
3.4
74.0
90.0
16.4
13.5
3.1
2.6
17.0
17.2
-
-
FMCG
Asian Paints
Neutral
935
-
89,723
17,128
18,978
16.8
16.4
19.1
20.7
49.0
45.2
17.0
16.1
34.8
35.5
5.2
4.7
Britannia
Buy
3,037
3,626
36,431
9,594
11,011
14.6
14.9
80.3
94.0
37.8
32.3
15.6
12.0
41.2
-
3.7
3.1
Colgate
Accumulate
923
995
25,099
4,605
5,149
23.4
23.4
23.8
26.9
38.8
34.3
21.5
16.8
64.8
66.8
5.4
4.8
Dabur India
Accumulate
280
304
49,212
8,315
9,405
19.8
20.7
8.1
9.2
34.5
30.4
9.6
8.0
31.6
31.0
5.6
4.9
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,001
-
21,033
4,350
4,823
21.2
21.4
179.2
196.5
27.9
25.5
7.4
6.3
27.1
26.8
4.2
3.7
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
1,477
-
50,293
10,235
11,428
18.4
18.6
41.1
44.2
35.9
33.4
8.0
6.7
24.9
24.8
5.0
4.4
HUL
Neutral
842
-
182,251
35,252
38,495
17.8
17.8
20.7
22.4
40.8
37.6
39.0
33.4
95.6
88.9
5.0
4.6
ITC
Buy
233
284
281,250
40,059
44,439
38.3
39.2
9.0
10.1
26.0
23.0
7.2
6.3
27.8
27.5
6.5
5.9
Marico
Buy
257
300
33,112
6,430
7,349
18.8
19.5
6.4
7.7
40.1
33.3
12.1
10.2
33.2
32.5
5.0
4.3
Nestle*
Neutral
6,319
-
60,927
10,073
11,807
20.7
21.5
124.8
154.2
50.6
41.0
20.8
18.7
34.8
36.7
5.9
5.0
Tata Global
Neutral
124
-
7,817
8,675
9,088
9.8
9.8
7.4
8.2
16.7
15.1
1.9
1.8
7.9
8.1
0.8
0.8
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
December 09, 2016
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FMCG
Procter & Gamble
Accumulate
6,795
7,369
22,057
2,939
3,342
23.2
23.0
146.2
163.7
46.5
41.5
104.1
99.8
25.3
23.5
7.0
6.1
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Buy
795
1,000
112,176
49,242
57,168
20.5
20.5
55.7
64.1
14.3
12.4
2.9
2.2
20.3
17.9
2.1
1.7
Infosys
Buy
985
1,249
226,192
68,350
77,326
27.0
27.0
62.5
69.4
15.8
14.2
3.4
3.1
21.3
21.6
2.8
2.4
TCS
Buy
2,197
2,620
432,883
119,025
133,308
27.6
27.6
131.2
145.5
16.7
15.1
5.4
5.0
32.4
33.1
3.4
3.0
Tech Mahindra
Buy
464
600
45,031
29,673
32,937
15.5
17.0
32.8
39.9
14.1
11.6
2.8
2.4
19.6
20.7
1.3
1.1
Wipro
Buy
459
590
111,534
55,440
60,430
18.1
18.1
35.9
39.9
12.8
11.5
2.3
2.1
19.0
19.3
1.7
1.6
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
356
-
6,542
2,297
2,590
27.4
28.2
21.0
23.4
17.0
15.2
4.0
3.4
23.7
23.1
2.6
2.3
HT Media
Neutral
73
-
1,696
2,693
2,991
12.6
12.9
7.9
9.0
9.2
8.1
0.8
0.7
7.8
8.3
0.2
0.1
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
171
225
5,593
2,355
2,635
28.0
28.0
10.8
12.5
15.8
13.7
3.4
3.0
21.7
21.7
2.4
2.1
Sun TV Network
Neutral
480
-
18,922
2,850
3,265
70.1
71.0
26.2
30.4
18.3
15.8
4.7
4.1
24.3
25.6
6.2
5.3
Hindustan Media
Neutral
256
-
1,880
1,016
1,138
24.3
25.2
27.3
30.1
9.4
8.5
1.8
1.6
16.2
15.8
1.2
1.0
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
288
385
1,715
637
743
27.5
27.5
18.4
21.4
15.7
13.5
2.7
2.3
17.4
17.2
2.3
1.9
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
312
-
197,197
84,638
94,297
21.4
22.3
24.5
27.1
12.7
11.5
5.3
5.1
42.6
46.0
1.8
1.7
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
284
-
119,872
14,252
18,465
55.9
48.3
15.8
21.5
18.0
13.2
2.9
2.6
17.0
20.7
8.4
6.5
Hindalco
Neutral
179
-
36,943
107,899
112,095
7.4
8.2
9.2
13.0
19.5
13.8
0.9
0.9
4.8
6.6
0.9
0.8
JSW Steel
Neutral
1,656
-
40,040
53,201
58,779
16.1
16.2
130.6
153.7
12.7
10.8
1.7
1.5
14.0
14.4
1.5
1.3
NMDC
Neutral
129
-
40,688
6,643
7,284
44.4
47.7
7.1
7.7
18.1
16.7
1.6
1.5
8.8
9.2
3.9
3.5
SAIL
Neutral
53
-
22,075
47,528
53,738
(0.7)
2.1
(1.9)
2.6
20.6
0.6
0.6
(1.6)
3.9
1.3
1.2
Vedanta
Neutral
243
-
72,027
71,744
81,944
19.2
21.7
13.4
20.1
18.1
12.1
1.6
1.4
8.4
11.3
1.4
1.1
Tata Steel
Neutral
432
-
41,913
121,374
121,856
7.2
8.4
18.6
34.3
23.2
12.6
1.5
1.3
6.1
10.1
1.0
1.0
Oil & Gas
Cairn India
Neutral
264
-
49,440
9,127
10,632
4.3
20.6
8.8
11.7
30.0
22.5
1.0
0.9
3.3
4.2
6.9
5.7
GAIL
Neutral
430
-
54,494
56,220
65,198
9.3
10.1
27.1
33.3
15.9
12.9
1.5
1.4
9.3
10.7
1.2
1.0
ONGC
Neutral
302
-
258,419
137,222
152,563
15.0
21.8
19.5
24.1
15.5
12.5
1.3
1.3
8.5
10.1
2.2
1.9
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
307
-
148,906
373,359
428,656
5.9
5.5
54.0
59.3
5.7
5.2
0.9
0.8
16.0
15.6
0.6
0.5
Reliance Industries
Neutral
1,020
-
330,583
301,963
358,039
12.1
12.6
87.7
101.7
11.6
10.0
1.2
1.1
10.7
11.3
1.6
1.3
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Neutral
639
-
12,049
3,483
4,083
20.2
21.4
24.3
30.4
26.3
21.0
6.0
4.8
25.5
25.3
3.4
2.8
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,680
1,989
20,087
6,043
6,893
18.7
19.3
80.5
88.8
20.9
18.9
4.7
3.9
22.3
20.3
3.3
2.8
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
722
877
42,264
15,720
18,078
23.7
23.7
41.4
47.3
17.5
15.3
4.5
3.6
29.6
26.1
2.9
2.5
Aventis*
Neutral
4,293
-
9,887
2,277
2,597
17.3
18.3
149.4
172.0
28.7
25.0
4.8
3.8
25.1
28.8
4.0
3.3
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
December 09, 2016
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Pharmaceuticals
Cadila Healthcare
Neutral
395
-
40,417
10,429
12,318
22.6
22.0
16.9
19.2
23.4
20.6
6.0
4.8
28.5
25.7
3.9
3.2
Cipla
Sell
582
490
46,752
15,378
18,089
17.4
18.4
21.6
27.2
26.9
21.4
3.5
3.0
13.7
15.2
3.2
2.7
Dr Reddy's
Neutral
3,200
-
53,027
16,043
18,119
20.8
22.4
112.4
142.9
28.5
22.4
3.8
3.3
14.1
15.9
3.3
2.9
Dishman Pharma
Neutral
231
-
3,727
1,718
1,890
22.7
22.8
9.5
11.3
24.3
20.4
2.4
2.1
10.1
10.9
2.6
2.3
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,733
-
23,146
3,000
3,312
15.4
20.6
46.5
60.8
58.8
44.9
14.1
14.1
26.3
30.6
7.5
6.8
Indoco Remedies
Reduce
260
240
2,391
1,112
1,289
16.2
18.2
11.6
16.0
22.4
16.2
3.6
3.0
17.0
20.1
2.3
1.9
Ipca labs
Accumulate
541
613
6,826
3,303
3,799
15.3
15.3
17.3
19.7
31.3
27.5
2.7
2.5
9.1
9.4
2.2
1.9
Lupin
Buy
1,523
1,809
68,667
15,912
18,644
26.4
26.7
58.1
69.3
26.2
22.0
5.1
4.2
21.4
20.9
4.4
3.6
Sun Pharma
Buy
676
847
162,584
31,129
35,258
32.0
32.9
30.2
35.3
22.4
19.1
3.7
3.0
20.0
20.1
4.8
4.0
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
76
-
20,433
36,916
39,557
17.4
27.1
5.1
6.3
14.8
12.0
1.3
1.2
9.0
10.3
1.6
1.4
NTPC
Neutral
163
-
134,401
86,605
95,545
17.5
20.8
11.8
13.4
13.8
12.2
1.4
1.3
10.5
11.1
2.9
2.9
Power Grid
Buy
186
223
97,124
25,315
29,193
88.2
88.7
14.2
17.2
13.1
10.8
2.0
1.7
15.2
16.1
8.5
7.6
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Buy
151
210
5,653
4,707
5,105
25.2
26.0
10.3
13.0
14.6
11.6
1.2
1.1
10.3
10.2
2.4
2.1
MLIFE
Buy
358
522
1,471
1,152
1,300
22.7
24.6
29.9
35.8
12.0
10.0
0.9
0.8
7.6
8.6
2.0
1.7
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
332
-
132,594
105,086
114,808
34.5
34.7
12.2
16.4
27.2
20.2
1.8
1.7
6.8
8.4
2.2
1.9
Idea Cellular
Neutral
76
-
27,510
40,133
43,731
37.2
37.1
6.4
6.5
11.9
11.8
1.0
0.9
8.2
7.6
1.7
1.4
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,738
-
10,067
3,153
3,583
14.1
14.4
152.2
182.7
31.1
25.9
152.8
130.5
25.6
26.1
2.9
2.5
Asian Granito
Buy
213
351
640
1,071
1,182
12.1
12.4
12.7
16.0
16.7
13.3
1.6
1.4
9.5
10.7
0.9
0.8
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
223
274
2,248
4,801
5,351
5.7
6.2
10.4
13.7
21.4
16.3
2.6
2.4
12.4
14.5
0.5
0.4
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
195
-
1,392
1,353
1,471
12.3
12.4
14.5
16.3
13.4
11.9
18.5
16.7
14.5
14.6
1.0
103.8
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
204
-
4,212
2,964
3,260
20.5
21.2
4.7
8.0
-
25.6
2.4
2.2
5.5
8.5
1.8
1.6
Ltd
Competent Automobiles Neutral
168
-
103
1,137
1,256
3.1
2.7
28.0
23.6
6.0
7.1
32.4
29.2
14.3
11.5
0.1
0.1
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
54
-
603
1,482
1,660
13.7
14.5
3.9
5.8
13.8
9.3
3.2
3.0
7.8
10.9
0.7
0.6
Finolex Cables
Neutral
426
-
6,514
2,883
3,115
12.0
12.1
14.2
18.6
30.0
22.9
16.0
13.9
15.8
14.6
2.0
1.8
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
615
-
1,346
873
938
14.3
14.3
35.2
37.5
17.5
16.4
3.1
2.6
17.5
15.9
1.5
1.3
Goodyear India*
Neutral
730
-
1,685
1,598
1,704
10.4
10.2
49.4
52.6
14.8
13.9
68.3
59.9
18.2
17.0
0.7
103.0
Hitachi
Neutral
1,356
-
3,687
2,081
2,433
8.8
8.9
33.4
39.9
40.6
34.0
32.8
27.3
22.1
21.4
1.8
1.5
HSIL
Neutral
292
-
2,114
2,384
2,515
15.8
16.3
15.3
19.4
19.1
15.1
19.0
16.3
7.8
9.3
1.1
1.0
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
851
-
30,672
21,122
26,005
14.5
27.6
110.7
132.1
7.7
6.4
46.0
32.9
168.5
201.1
1.4
1.1
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
December 09, 2016
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
zOthers
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
372
-
6,758
1,440
2,052
11.5
13.0
8.5
10.0
43.8
37.2
10.6
9.8
18.6
19.3
5.0
3.5
Kirloskar Engines India
Neutral
326
-
4,714
2,554
2,800
9.9
10.0
10.5
12.1
31.1
26.9
13.0
12.3
10.7
11.7
1.5
1.3
Ltd
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
237
-
351
382
420
9.3
9.5
13.5
15.7
17.6
15.1
3.0
2.6
17.1
17.3
1.0
0.9
M M Forgings
Neutral
426
-
514
546
608
20.4
20.7
41.3
48.7
10.3
8.7
58.3
51.6
16.6
17.0
0.8
0.7
Manpasand Bever.
Neutral
590
-
3,376
836
1,087
19.6
19.4
16.9
23.8
34.9
24.8
4.2
3.7
12.0
14.8
3.8
2.8
Mirza International
Buy
84
107
1,016
987
1,106
18.0
18.0
6.5
7.6
12.9
11.1
2.1
1.8
15.9
15.7
1.2
1.1
MT Educare
Neutral
116
-
462
366
417
17.7
18.2
9.4
10.8
12.4
10.7
2.8
2.4
22.2
22.3
1.2
1.0
Narayana Hrudaya
Neutral
339
-
6,928
1,873
2,166
11.5
11.7
2.6
4.0
128.2
85.5
7.9
7.1
6.1
8.3
3.8
3.3
Navkar Corporation
Buy
177
265
2,521
369
561
42.9
42.3
7.2
11.5
24.5
15.4
1.8
1.6
7.4
10.5
7.8
5.2
Navneet Education
Neutral
109
-
2,606
1,062
1,147
24.0
24.0
6.1
6.6
18.0
16.5
3.7
3.3
20.6
19.8
2.5
2.3
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,363
-
2,034
1,995
2,165
10.7
10.4
69.8
80.6
19.5
16.9
77.9
67.6
16.6
16.5
1.0
0.9
Page Industries
Neutral
13,820
-
15,415
2,450
3,124
20.1
17.6
299.0
310.0
46.2
44.6
307.8
235.0
47.1
87.5
6.3
5.0
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
267
-
2,249
1,919
2,231
9.3
9.6
9.5
12.9
28.3
20.7
4.4
3.6
15.5
17.5
1.3
1.1
Quick Heal
Neutral
285
-
1,994
408
495
27.3
27.0
7.7
8.8
36.8
32.4
3.4
3.4
9.3
10.6
4.0
3.3
Radico Khaitan
Buy
120
147
1,598
1,667
1,824
13.0
13.2
6.7
8.2
18.1
14.7
1.6
1.5
9.0
10.2
1.3
1.2
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
413
-
4,953
2,085
2,469
9.2
8.2
7.6
8.0
54.6
51.9
21.2
18.1
17.9
18.8
2.5
2.1
S H Kelkar & Co.
Neutral
301
-
4,357
1,036
1,160
15.1
15.0
6.1
7.2
49.3
42.0
5.3
4.8
10.7
11.5
4.1
3.6
Siyaram Silk Mills
Accumulate
1,230
1,605
1,153
1,733
1,948
11.6
11.7
96.6
114.7
12.7
10.7
2.0
1.7
15.3
15.7
0.9
0.8
Styrolution ABS India*
Neutral
583
-
1,026
1,440
1,537
9.2
9.0
40.6
42.6
14.4
13.7
36.7
33.4
12.3
11.6
0.7
0.6
Surya Roshni
Neutral
193
-
846
3,342
3,625
7.8
7.5
17.3
19.8
11.2
9.8
21.2
17.0
10.5
10.8
0.5
0.5
Team Lease Serv.
Neutral
875
-
1,496
3,229
4,001
1.5
1.8
22.8
32.8
38.4
26.6
4.1
3.6
10.7
13.4
0.4
0.3
The Byke Hospitality
Neutral
167
-
668
287
384
20.5
20.5
7.6
10.7
21.9
15.6
4.6
3.7
20.7
23.5
2.3
1.7
Transport Corporation of
Neutral
169
-
1,294
2,671
2,911
8.5
8.8
13.9
15.7
12.2
10.8
1.7
1.5
13.7
13.8
0.6
0.5
India
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,499
-
2,679
2,304
2,614
13.7
13.8
231.1
266.6
15.1
13.1
393.2
309.6
33.9
29.3
1.2
1.0
UFO Moviez
Neutral
434
-
1,197
619
685
33.2
33.4
30.0
34.9
14.5
12.4
2.0
1.7
13.8
13.9
1.6
1.3
Visaka Industries
Neutral
193
-
306
1,051
1,138
10.3
10.4
21.0
23.1
9.2
8.3
24.7
23.1
9.0
9.2
0.6
0.5
VRL Logistics
Neutral
266
-
2,426
1,902
2,119
16.7
16.6
14.6
16.8
18.3
15.8
4.0
3.5
21.9
22.2
1.4
1.2
Wonderla Holidays
Neutral
329
-
1,858
287
355
38.0
40.0
11.3
14.2
29.1
23.2
4.2
3.7
21.4
23.9
6.2
5.0
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on December 08, 2016
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
December 09, 2016
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
Angel Broking Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as “Angel”) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India
Limited,Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange Limited. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with
CDSL and Portfolio Manager with SEBI. It also has registration with AMFI as a Mutual Fund Distributor. Angel Broking Private Limited is a
registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide registration number
INH000000164. Angel or its associates has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing
/dealing in securities Market. Angel or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or
co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months.
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals. Investors are advised to refer the Fundamental and Technical Research Reports available on our website to evaluate the
contrary view, if any.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot
testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document.
While Angel Broking Pvt. Limited endeavors to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from
or in connection with the use of this information.
www.angelbroking.com